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Pakistan market analysisMiddle East tensions

Saudi Tankers Take $2.5 Million Detour Around Strait Crises: PSO and E&P Stocks in Focus

By TradeTidings Research Desk · stock news-sentiment analysis
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Disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb are forcing Saudi oil tankers onto month-long detours costing about $2.5 million each, raising global shipping costs and tightening effective oil supply.

Disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait are forcing Saudi oil exports onto far longer routes, adding roughly a month to shipping times and about $2.5 million in extra cost per tanker, according to Reuters calculations based on Kpler and LSEG shipping data.

What the Tanker Reroute Changed

A voyage from Saudi Arabia's Red Sea port of Yanbu to Taiwan normally takes about 19 days through Bab el-Mandeb. Rerouting via the Suez Canal, the Mediterranean, the Strait of Gibraltar and around Africa's Cape of Good Hope stretches that to 48 days. Fuel costs alone rise from around $1.26 million to $2.87 million for the voyage, and Suez Canal transit fees add roughly $1 million more, taking the total extra cost to about $2.5 million per tanker. Large crude carriers also face size restrictions in the Suez Canal and may need to sail partially loaded, topping up cargo through Egypt's SUMED pipeline, which can move up to 2.5 million barrels a day against Saudi Arabia's roughly 7 million barrels a day of total oil exports.

Why PSO and Pakistan's Oil and Gas Stocks Are in Focus

This story is about shipping economics rather than a single price data point, and it affects Pakistan's listed oil and gas names through two separate, direct channels. Higher global freight costs raise the landed cost of fuel that Pakistan imports by tanker, a direct hit to the country's largest fuel marketer. Separately, forcing a large share of Saudi exports onto much longer routes effectively tightens the supply reaching buyers promptly, a genuine supply-side factor supportive of international crude prices.

Which Stocks, and Why

Pakistan State Oil, as the country's largest fuel importer, absorbs higher freight costs on the cargoes it brings in, which squeezes margins or adds to working-capital strain if the extra cost cannot be passed through to regulated retail prices quickly. On the other side, Oil & Gas Development Company and Pakistan Petroleum stand to gain from any firming in international crude prices that comes from Saudi export capacity being constrained by these longer routes, since both earn on USD-linked benchmark pricing rather than a fixed domestic rate.

What to Watch

Watch how long these rerouted shipping patterns persist, since a temporary detour that eases once the Strait crises calm down would leave only a brief cost bump, while a prolonged closure of either route would keep freight costs and the effective supply squeeze in place for longer. Any expansion of the SUMED pipeline's usable capacity would also be worth watching, since it partly offsets the Suez Canal's size limits for large tankers.

Frequently asked questions

Why are Saudi oil tankers taking month-long detours?

Disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait are forcing Saudi tankers to reroute via the Suez Canal and around Africa, adding about a month to each voyage.

Does this affect PSO stock?

Yes, indirectly. Pakistan State Oil imports fuel by tanker, so higher global freight costs from these reroutes raise its import costs and can squeeze margins.

Is this good or bad for OGDC and PPL stock?

It leans mildly positive, since constrained Saudi export routes tighten effective global oil supply, which is generally supportive of the international crude prices these companies are paid on.

Informational only, not investment advice. Sentiment reflects news exposure, not a buy/sell recommendation or price forecast. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional.

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