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Regional security flare-ups and the read-through for oil, risk appetite and energy names.
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Pakistan's Prime Minister announced the country will host the signing of a US-Iran peace accord, signaling a de-escalation of Middle East tensions. This development could reduce the risk premium on international crude oil prices, impacting PSX energy and chemical stocks.
ECB President Christine Lagarde welcomed a ceasefire agreement with Iran, which could lead to the re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz, potentially easing global oil prices and impacting PSX energy and chemical stocks.
An LNG tanker successfully navigated the Strait of Hormuz following reports of a US-Iran peace deal, signaling a reduction in geopolitical risk for crucial energy shipping lanes and impacting various PSX energy-related stocks.
An agreement between the United States and Iran to end their conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz has caused a sharp drop in international crude oil prices, negatively impacting Pakistan's oil exploration, marketing, and refining companies, while benefiting chemical producers and power generators.
Iran's confirmation of an immediate end to military operations, linked to a potential US-Iran peace deal, suggests a de-escalation of Middle East tensions. This development is likely to reduce global crude oil prices, which could negatively impact Pakistan's oil and gas exploration companies while potentially benefiting sectors reliant on oil-linked feedstocks.
Turkiye and Saudi Arabia plan a new rail link with Jordan and Syria, aiming to reduce future supply chain disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz, which could have long-term, low-level implications for Pakistan's energy sector.
Reports of a potential peace deal between the United States and Iran, welcomed by Pakistan and Turkey, suggest a possible increase in global oil supply, which could lead to lower international crude oil prices.
US President Trump's claim of an imminent Iran deal clashes with an Israeli strike in Beirut, keeping Middle East tensions high and creating volatility for PSX energy stocks.
Former US President Donald Trump's comments about an imminent peace deal with Iran, despite a delay, suggest a potential increase in global oil supply, which could impact international crude oil prices and subsequently affect Pakistan's energy sector stocks.
Renewed violence in Gaza, despite truce efforts, signals ongoing geopolitical risk that typically impacts international crude oil prices, affecting Pakistani oil and gas exploration, refinery, oil marketing, and chemical companies.
Optimism about a potential US-Iran peace deal is boosting Gulf markets, but could lead to lower international crude oil prices, negatively impacting Pakistan's oil and gas exploration companies and potentially affecting marketing and refining firms.
A draft deal between the US and Iran, which includes a waiver on oil sanctions, could increase global crude oil supply. This development has potential implications for Pakistan's oil and gas exploration, marketing, and refining companies.
US President Donald Trump announced a potential deal with Iran, which could lead to the Strait of Hormuz being fully open. This development suggests a reduction in geopolitical risk in the Middle East, potentially influencing global crude oil prices.
The Pakistan Stock Exchange experienced a significant rally as investor sentiment improved, driven by reports of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a notable decline in international crude oil prices.
Reports on 12 to 13 June that planned US strikes on Iran had been called off eased Middle East tensions and pulled oil lower, helping risk appetite return to the KSE-100. The de-escalation read is positive for importers and the broad market, and softer for oil producers.
The government is implementing an international-standard testing system for electric vehicle (EV) batteries in Pakistan to address quality concerns, a move that comes amid rising EV demand driven by higher global oil prices.
Global crude oil prices jumped significantly following Israeli military actions in Iran and Lebanon, impacting energy-related sectors on the Pakistan Stock Exchange.
A sharp rise in fuel prices lifted refinery economics through FY26. Attock Refinery posted its second highest profit ever at Rs11.3 billion with record margins, Pakistan Refinery swung back to profit, and National Refinery sales jumped.
Pakistan State Oil's nine-month FY26 profit jumped 150 percent to Rs38.1 billion, a sharp acceleration from the first half, as the Middle East driven oil price surge delivered large inventory gains. The quality caveat is that such gains reverse when prices fall.
The State Bank raised the policy rate by 100 basis points to 11.5 percent on 27 April 2026, its first hike in almost three years, as Middle East driven energy costs pushed inflation past target. Banks gain, leveraged sectors feel the squeeze.
Pakistan has managed to keep its fuel supplies stable, with local refineries adapting to disruptions stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict, specifically the Iran war.
Ongoing regional conflict in the Middle East continues to pose risks to global oil supply chains, which could affect Pakistan's energy sector through crude oil prices and import logistics.
A sharp drop in global oil prices on 11 March let the KSE-100 jump more than 2,000 points as panic faded. The relief was broad and skewed toward the importers and rate-sensitive names that had been hit hardest, while the producer trade cooled.
As the Iran war pushed oil sharply higher, Pakistan ordered emergency austerity on 10 March, including a four-day government work week, to contain a ballooning oil-import bill. For an economy that imports most of its fuel, the squeeze is negative for auto and cement names.
The State Bank held the policy rate at 10.5 percent on 9 March 2026, citing a sharp rise in global fuel, freight and insurance costs after war broke out in the Middle East. The pause keeps the path to cheaper money on ice.
With Iran declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed on 4 March and oil pushing past 100 dollars, the read for PSX divides cleanly: positive for oil and gas producers, mixed for refiners on inventory, and negative for the importers who carry the fuel bill.
Coordinated US and Israeli strikes on Iran on 28 February sent oil sharply higher and triggered one of the largest one-day falls in the KSE-100's history. The selloff was broad, though oil producers held up far better than the import-heavy names.
Informational only — not investment advice. Sentiment reflects news exposure, not a buy/sell recommendation or price forecast. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional.
